Pete Tiernan of bracketscience.com plugged all the key stats of the 65 teams into a spreadsheet, performed his analysis and published the rankings in his multimedia blog ($). I extracted a few of the Wolverine-relevant categories, again, these are versus the entire NCAA field:
Field goal percentage differential versus opponents:
Best: Gonzaga (+.120)
Worst: Michigan (-.011)
Percentage of three-point field goals attempted:
Highest: Michigan (.476)
Lowest: Washington (.205)
Largest: Michigan State (9.9 rpg)
Smallest: Michigan (-3.1 rpg)
I’m not shocked by any of these stats, but if you handed me just the field goal percentage stat and the rebounding margin before this season, I’d of guessed Michigan would win about 10 games in 2008. I mean, we shot worse than our opponents and on top of that, we probably didn’t get off as many shots because we didn’t get any rebounds (although I think we do better on the offensive glass because we get some long rebounds).
Granted, this is a comparison against the best teams in the country, but still. Of course when you see the stat on the three point field goals attempted, we make up for our relatively poor shooting because shot for shot, our attempts on average are worth more if they find the net.
*If you’re wondering, when Michigan and Michigan State played on February 10, we actually outrebounded the Spartans on the offensive glass (9-8), but were edged out in the totals 31-28.
For some folks, the only stat that matters comes out of Vegas. Depending on your book of choice, Michigan’s coming off as a 5 to 5.5 point underdog for Thursday evening’s tilt against Clemson.